Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.900889 3.469252 4.104687 4.865570 5.749592 6.741920 7.937684
2025-11-09 1.995423 2.691447 3.553162 4.689648 6.139176 7.915276 10.243974
2025-11-16 1.516949 2.262682 3.267009 4.699105 6.665538 9.244317 12.849856
2025-11-23 1.199627 1.953985 3.046589 4.711327 7.142391 10.513345 15.478238
2025-11-30 0.959652 1.693836 2.829403 4.664627 7.493166 11.608890 17.946170
2025-12-07 0.744484 1.420450 2.533968 4.436720 7.520707 12.211960 19.734312
2025-12-14 0.614872 1.259052 2.382032 4.398227 7.813406 13.212357 22.176192
2025-12-21 0.516142 1.130140 2.259001 4.380983 8.123891 14.251769 24.750416
2025-12-28 0.472569 1.096035 2.295436 4.638963 8.914709 16.120699 28.789113
2026-01-04 0.419099 1.030334 2.260946 4.759793 9.473343 17.645517 32.377463
2026-01-11 0.381458 0.990012 2.267765 4.955254 10.180076 19.472739 36.604883
2026-01-18 0.331354 0.910975 2.183094 4.958993 10.527373 20.694701 39.875266
2026-01-25 0.272619 0.799765 2.015404 4.778238 10.514052 21.290947 42.133549
2026-02-01 0.224513 0.703103 1.862575 4.605743 10.495252 21.872393 44.410325
2026-02-08 0.195641 0.649625 1.798753 4.615238 10.841980 23.163393 48.081920
2026-02-15 0.171118 0.601960 1.740239 4.627325 11.192575 24.485858 51.903665
2026-02-22 0.147347 0.550130 1.661913 4.581385 11.411150 25.561417 55.323222
2026-03-01 0.119771 0.478437 1.518438 4.357119 11.209269 25.768734 57.052740
2026-03-08 0.103599 0.439082 1.454346 4.319243 11.422084 26.840647 60.573515
2026-03-15 0.090402 0.406010 1.401578 4.302276 11.679985 28.024168 64.397394
2026-03-22 0.086850 0.407184 1.448967 4.556138 12.606997 30.706478 71.483967
2026-03-29 0.079717 0.392699 1.446719 4.675048 13.217114 32.741179 77.338688
2026-04-05 0.075051 0.386713 1.469865 4.867414 14.026948 35.272093 84.396635